Montpellier Wvs
Marseille W
COMPLETEDFrance · Feminine Division 1 · 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montpellier W 0-0 Marseille W
Original prediction
Marseille W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.7% | 36.5% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 26.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.5% | 37.1% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Marseille W
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Marseille W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80