GGOALVIO

France · Feminine Division 1 · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montpellier W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Montpellier W 1-1 Le Havre W

Original prediction

Montpellier W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9845.3%52.2%6.9 pts
Draw3.3526.8%23.8%-3.0 pts
Away3.2227.9%24.0%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Montpellier W

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Montpellier W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Montpellier WDDLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Le Havre WWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Montpellier WLe Havre W
50.0Attack41.7
75.0Defence16.7
41.7Form50.0
54.1Power37.6
2.26xG1.13
View match centre →