Montpelliervs
RED Star FC 93
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/26/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montpellier 0-0 RED Star FC 93, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montpellier 2-1 RED Star FC 93
Original prediction
Montpellier
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.7% | 38.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 31.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.9% | 30.2% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Montpellier 0–0 RED Star FC 93
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MontpellierWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RED Star FC 93LWWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MontpellierRED Star FC 93
40.7Attack44.4
81.5Defence63.0
66.7Form63.0
64.6Power59.2
1.02xG0.66