Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Montpellier

Montpellier

Home
W
52
Full time
Le Puy Foot

Le Puy Foot

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Le Puy Foot33%
Montpellier33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Montpellier
Win probability
Montpellier
33%
Draw
33%
Le Puy Foot
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Montpellier
100
Le Puy Foot
73
Defence
Montpellier
27
Le Puy Foot
0
Momentum
Montpellier
100
Le Puy Foot
0
Danger (xG)
Montpellier
4.50
Le Puy Foot
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Montpellier)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Le Puy Foot)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Montpellier)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Le Puy Foot)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MontpellierMontpellier
W
Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Montpellier33%
Draw33%
Le Puy Foot33%

Le Puy Foot leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Montpellier head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Le Puy Foot arrive in mixed form (L). Montpellier have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Le Puy Foot over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Montpellier (100/100) and Le Puy Foot (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Montpellier have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Le Puy Foot have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per away game.

Montpellier have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Montpellier to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Montpellier 3333%, Draw 3333%, Le Puy Foot 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Montpellier 1Draws 00 Le Puy Foot
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Montpellier
W52
Le Puy Foot

Recent form

Montpellier

Montpellier

W
vs Le Puy Foot
17 Jul 2026
52
Le Puy Foot

Le Puy Foot

L
@ Montpellier
17 Jul 2026
25
D
@ Sochaux
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

GoalVio's model predicts Montpellier to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Montpellier vs Le Puy Foot?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more