Montpelliervs
Grenoble
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montpellier 0-0 Grenoble, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montpellier 2-0 Grenoble
Original prediction
Montpellier
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 58.1% | 44.3% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.7% | 29.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.42 | 17.2% | 25.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Projected Score
Montpellier 0–0 Grenoble
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MontpellierDWLDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GrenobleDDWLW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MontpellierGrenoble
28.6Attack38.1
76.2Defence47.6
57.1Form38.1
57.1Power42.5
1.15xG0.67