Montpelliervs
Boulogne
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montpellier 0-0 Boulogne, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montpellier 0-0 Boulogne
Original prediction
Montpellier
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.7% | 45.5% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.2% | 28.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 19.1% | 25.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Projected Score
Montpellier 0–0 Boulogne
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MontpellierWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BoulogneDLDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MontpellierBoulogne
33.3Attack11.1
88.9Defence77.8
77.8Form22.2
70.7Power40.2
1.17xG0.77