Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monthey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monthey are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Naters are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Naters hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1, while Monthey holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monthey
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
9.0%
Monthey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 19 · GA 16 · avg 3.80/3.20