Monterrey Wvs
Toluca W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey W 5-1 Toluca W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 44.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 24.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 31.4% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60