GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Monterrey W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX Femenil, favouring a draw with 9.6% confidence, a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.5%

Model confidence

9.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Monterrey WToluca W
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power88.7
2.04xG1.62
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