GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 2/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Toluca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Monterrey WToluca W
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power94.8
1.87xG1.70
View match centre →