GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 11/12/2024, 1:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Toluca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Monterrey WToluca W
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power94.8
1.87xG1.70
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