GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/26/2023, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pumas UNAM W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 52.7-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Pumas UNAM WWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Monterrey WPumas UNAM W
83.3Attack55.6
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power33.8
2.88xG1.30
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