Monterrey Wvs
Necaxa W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey W 10-0 Necaxa W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 91.6% | 84.5% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 16.21 | 5.8% | 9.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 36.11 | 2.6% | 6.3% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.5–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
84.5%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80