GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 1/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Necaxa WLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Monterrey WNecaxa W
83.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power26.7
2.39xG1.16
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