GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/1/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 66.9-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

87.2%

Model confidence

87.2%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mazatlán WLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Monterrey WMazatlán W
83.3Attack31.4
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form14.7
86.5Power19.6
4.02xG0.75
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