GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 4/19/2025, 2:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while León W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey W hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
León WWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Monterrey WLeón W
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power59.3
2.41xG1.52
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