GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/21/2024, 2:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monterrey W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guadalajara W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Monterrey W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey W

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterrey WWDWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalajara WWWDLD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Monterrey WGuadalajara W
83.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power90.7
1.92xG1.69
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