Monterrey Wvs
Cruz Azul W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (10%), 4-1 (10%), 5-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey W 1-0 Cruz Azul W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.2% | 85.0% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.47 | 16.5% | 9.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 8.82 | 10.3% | 5.6% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–010%
- 2.4–110%
- 3.5–09%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
85.0%
Model confidence
85.0%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 7 · avg 4.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00