Monterrey Wvs
América W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey W 4-3 América W
Original prediction
América W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.7% | 34.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 22.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.4% | 43.0% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20