Monterreyvs
Tigres UANL
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/13/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL
Original prediction
Monterrey
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.2% | 51.3% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.0% | 23.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.8% | 25.4% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80