Liga MXLiga MX
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Monterrey

Monterrey

Home
32
Full time
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Away
L
Estadio BBVA
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Monterrey(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Monterrey
44%
Draw
25%
Santos Laguna
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Santos Laguna)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Santos Laguna)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
LW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Monterrey44%
Draw25%
Santos Laguna32%

Monterrey leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Monterrey head into this in Liga MX fixture at Estadio BBVA in unknown form, while Santos Laguna arrive in mixed form (L).

Monterrey have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Santos Laguna have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Monterrey and Santos Laguna in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Monterrey to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Monterrey 4350%, Draw 2450%, Santos Laguna 3200%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

L
vs America de Cali
10 Jul 2026
01
W
@ NY Cosmos
28 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts Monterrey to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more