Monterreyvs
CF Pachuca
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca
Original prediction
Monterrey
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.7% | 44.5% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.3% | 22.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 20.0% | 32.9% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20