Monterreyvs
Atletico San Luis
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monterrey are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico San Luis are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring a draw with 11.4% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.5%
Model confidence
11.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60