Monterreyvs
Atletico San Luis
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/31/2026, 2:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterrey 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Original prediction
Monterrey
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 59.9% | 60.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 22.0% | 20.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.17 | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Monterrey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80