Monterey Bayvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Monterey Bay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Antonio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Antonio
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20