Monterey BayvsSacramento Republic

Monterey Bay are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.