USL ChampionshipUSL Championship
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

Home
12
Full time
Orange County SC

Orange County SC

Away
DD
Cardinale Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Monterey Bay(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Monterey Bay
40%
Draw
26%
Orange County SC
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Orange County SC)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Orange County SC)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Orange County SCOrange County SC
DD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Monterey Bay40%
Draw26%
Orange County SC34%

Monterey Bay leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Monterey Bay head into this in USL Championship fixture at Cardinale Stadium in unknown form, while Orange County SC arrive in mixed form (DD).

Monterey Bay have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Orange County SC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Monterey Bay and Orange County SC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Monterey Bay to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Monterey Bay 3996%, Draw 2563%, Orange County SC 3441%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Orange County SC

Orange County SC

D
@ Hartford Athletic
9 Jul 2026
22
D
@ Rhode Island
5 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Monterey Bay to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more