Monterey Bayvs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterey Bay 2-5 New Mexico United
Original prediction
New Mexico United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Monterey BayLLLLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New Mexico UnitedWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
35.0Attack52.1
40.0Defence64.6
25.0Form62.5
35.6Power61.2
0.73xG1.85