Monterey Bayvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/19/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monterey Bay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Louisville City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80