GGOALVIO

Monterey Bay logoMonterey BayvsFC Tulsa logoFC Tulsa

COMPLETED

USA · USL Championship · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Monterey Bay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the USL Championship, while FC Tulsa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tulsa

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Monterey BayDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
35.0Attack37.0
40.0Defence68.5
25.0Form53.7
35.6Power54.7
0.67xG1.29
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