Monterey Bayvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.86 | 18.9% | 21.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.3% | 22.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.8% | 56.0% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40