Monterey Bayvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Monterey Bay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the USL Championship, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80