Montenegro U21vs
Armenia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montenegro U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montenegro U21 1-1 Armenia U21
Original prediction
Montenegro U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.8% | 71.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.6% | 16.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 7.25 | 12.6% | 11.4% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Montenegro U21
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Montenegro U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00