Montenegro U19vs
Israel U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Israel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montenegro U19 0-1 Israel U19
Original prediction
Israel U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.5% | 28.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 27.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.2% | 44.2% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Israel U19
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Israel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00