Montenegro U19vs
Israel U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Israel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montenegro U19 0-2 Israel U19
Original prediction
Israel U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.5% | 29.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 27.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.6% | 42.6% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Israel U19
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Israel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00