Montego Bay Unitedvs
Dunbeholden
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montego Bay United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montego Bay United 1-0 Dunbeholden
Original prediction
Montego Bay United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.4% | 57.3% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.6% | 23.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 9.15 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Montego Bay United
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Montego Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20