Montego Bay Unitedvs
Arnett Gardens
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montego Bay United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montego Bay United 2-2 Arnett Gardens
Original prediction
Montego Bay United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 09:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.1% | 51.3% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.5% | 25.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.5% | 23.6% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Montego Bay United
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Montego Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80