Montedio Yamagatavs
Vegalta Sendai
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/11/2026, 4:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vegalta Sendai · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montedio Yamagata 0-0 Vegalta Sendai, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Vegalta Sendai
Original prediction
Vegalta Sendai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 26.2% | 29.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.6% | 30.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 47.2% | 40.3% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Montedio Yamagata 0–0 Vegalta Sendai
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vegalta Sendai
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Vegalta Sendai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40