Montedio Yamagatavs
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montedio Yamagata 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montedio Yamagata 0-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 31.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 41.0% | 35.1% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Montedio Yamagata 0–0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20