Montedio Yamagatavs
Fujieda MYFC
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montedio Yamagata · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montedio Yamagata 3-5 Fujieda MYFC
Original prediction
Montedio Yamagata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.6% | 39.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.1% | 32.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Montedio Yamagata
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Montedio Yamagata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20