Montedio Yamagatavs
Consadole Sapporo
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montedio Yamagata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Consadole Sapporo, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Montedio Yamagata 0-2 Consadole Sapporo
Original prediction
Montedio Yamagata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.1% | 51.9% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.5% | 27.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.3% | 20.8% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Projected Score
Montedio Yamagata 1–0 Consadole Sapporo
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Montedio Yamagata
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Montedio Yamagata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40