Montanavs
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montana 3-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Original prediction
Montana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.4% | 47.9% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.1% | 26.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.43 | 16.6% | 26.0% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Montana
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Montana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20