Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llapi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Montana are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Llapi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Llapi hold a 76.8-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Llapi holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Llapi
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
9.7%
Llapi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60