Montanavs
Hebar 1918
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/21/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebar 1918 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montana 0-5 Hebar 1918
Original prediction
Hebar 1918
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.1% | 37.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 21.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.8% | 40.9% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Hebar 1918
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Hebar 1918 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20