Montañesesvs
Lobos ULMX
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montañeses · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montañeses 0-3 Lobos ULMX
Original prediction
Montañeses
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.7% | 46.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 26.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Montañeses
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Montañeses has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40