Montañesesvs
Inter Playa del Carmen
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montañeses · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montañeses 3-2 Inter Playa del Carmen
Original prediction
Montañeses
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.4% | 46.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 26.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.3% | 26.8% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Montañeses
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Montañeses has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80