Mons Calpevs
Lynx
COMPLETEDGibraltar · Premier Division · 10/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mons Calpe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mons Calpe 3-2 Lynx
Original prediction
Mons Calpe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.4% | 63.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 19.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.38 | 16.8% | 17.1% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Mons Calpe
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Mons Calpe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60