Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Monção are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Machico are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machico hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (29.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while Machico holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Machico
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Machico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00