Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monheim · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monheim 4-2 Meerbusch
Original prediction
Monheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.0% | 74.8% | 25.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 13.8% | -9.6 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.6% | 11.4% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Monheim
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Monheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MonheimWDLLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MeerbuschWLLLD
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MonheimMeerbusch
70.4Attack18.5
59.3Defence33.3
55.6Form11.1
61.0Power24.9
3.30xG0.68