Moneyfieldsvs
Wimborne Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moneyfields · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Moneyfields 1-3 Wimborne Town
Original prediction
Moneyfields
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 29.9% | 40.4% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 26.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.3% | 33.5% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Moneyfields
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Moneyfields has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80