GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

US Mondorf-les-bains · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Mondercange are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while US Mondorf-les-bains are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 3.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and US Mondorf-les-bains hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the National Division, while US Mondorf-les-bains holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

US Mondorf-les-bains

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

US Mondorf-les-bains has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MondercangeWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
US Mondorf-les-bainsLWLW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 3.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
MondercangeUS Mondorf-les-bains
36.7Attack100.0
36.7Defence33.3
35.6Form100.0
39.1Power83.3
1.12xG2.26
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