Moncarapachensevs
Fabril Barreiro
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/27/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Moncarapachense are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fabril Barreiro are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Moncarapachense hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00